9.1 Measuring the Inflation Rate
Inflation = rate of increase in average prices of goods/services over time (usually annual).
Deflation = decrease in average prices → increases purchasing power.
Consumer Price Index (CPI)
-
Measures the cost of a fixed “basket” of goods (food, shelter, transportation, etc.) relative to a base year.
$$
f = \frac{\text{CPI}{n} - \text{CPI}{n-1}}{\text{CPI}_{n-1}}
$$
-
CPI helps convert between nominal and real values.
9.2 Economic Evaluation with Inflation
When evaluating projects:
- Current (Nominal) Dollars — reflect expected future price levels (include inflation).
- Real (Constant) Dollars — remove inflation effects, expressed in “base year” value (e.g., 2020 $).
Converting Current ↔ Real Dollars
- $C_N$ = current (nominal) value in year N
- $R_{0,N}$ = equivalent real value in base year 0
- $I_{0,N}$ = price index at year N relative to base year 0
- $f$ = inflation rate per year (constant)
Using CPI Index
$$
R_{0,N} = \frac{C_N}{I_{0,N} / 100}
$$
Using Inflation Rate